Olancho vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Olancho v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Olancho vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Olancho
HON
1-0
HT 0-0
Marathon
HON
Marathon edged past Olancho 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Olancho at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Olancho and 1.00 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Olancho vs Marathon?
Olancho 1-2 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Olancho vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Olancho 43%, draw 36%, Marathon 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.