Marathon 2-0 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.9pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.5pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.28/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.93
-16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +58%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Olancho
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
29.04.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 2-1 Olancho Olancho HON
04.03.2024 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 2-0 Marathon Marathon HON
25.09.2023 Marathon Marathon 0-2 HT 0-2 Olancho Olancho HON
29.07.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
02.03.2023 Marathon Marathon 0-2 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
22.01.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 1-2 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon beat Olancho 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 25% — and on the day Marathon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Marathon and 1.67 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Olancho?

Marathon 2-0 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marathon 40%, draw 34%, Olancho 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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