Olancho vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Olancho v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Olancho vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Olancho
HON
1-0
HT 0-0
Marathon
HON
0-2
HT 0-0
Olancho
HON
Olancho got the better of Marathon 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Olancho and 0.83 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Olancho vs Marathon?
Olancho 3-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Olancho vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Olancho 49%, draw 25%, Marathon 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.