Motagua 5-2 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -23%
1.97/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.13
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
416 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
23.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
31.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
01.02.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.11.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-3 HT 1-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
21.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-4 HT 0-3 Motagua Motagua HON
13.03.2023 Motagua Motagua 3-1 HT 3-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua ran out comfortable winners over CD Victoria 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Motagua and 1.17 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Victoria?

Motagua 5-2 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Motagua 53%, draw 25%, CD Victoria 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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