CD Victoria 2-2 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.06/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.07
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Motagua
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
01.02.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.11.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-3 HT 1-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
21.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-4 HT 0-3 Motagua Motagua HON
13.03.2023 Motagua Motagua 3-1 HT 3-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
29.01.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 1-1 Motagua Motagua HON
04.12.2022 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria and Motagua shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Motagua at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Victoria and 2.50 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Motagua?

CD Victoria 2-2 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 26%, draw 25%, Motagua 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motagua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
31 Mar 2024
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