Real Espana 1-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.07/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.18
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +47%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Olancho
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
01.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
26.11.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.09.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
14.05.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
11.05.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
30.04.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana and Olancho couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Espana at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Espana and 1.17 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Olancho?

Real Espana 1-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 41%, draw 32%, Olancho 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Espana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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