CD Victoria 3-2 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 16 Sep 2024

CD Victoria
3-2 HT 2-0
Olancho
📅16/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2024/2025

CD Victoria vs Olancho Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CD Victoria v Olancho — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +1%
1.42/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.86
+8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

CD Victoria vs Olancho Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Olancho
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
04.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.02.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.10.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
05.08.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
06.03.2023 Olancho Olancho 4-1 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.01.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria nicked a narrow win over Olancho 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day CD Victoria made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Victoria and 1.50 for Olancho.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Olancho?

CD Victoria 3-2 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 16/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 36%, draw 32%, Olancho 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Victoria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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