Olancho 3-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 Nov 2024

📅11/11/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.78
Over 2.5
36%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.2pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-0.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -23%
1.49/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.13
-17% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
16.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 3-2 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
04.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.02.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.10.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
05.08.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
06.03.2023 Olancho Olancho 4-1 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho swept aside CD Victoria 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Olancho and 1.17 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Victoria?

Olancho 3-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Olancho 50%, draw 32%, CD Victoria 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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