CD Olimpia 2-0 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-13.6pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.5pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
2.66/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.48
+12% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -15%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
324 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
19.01.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
10.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
14.09.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
25.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
01.03.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
06.11.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia beat Lobos UPNFM 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.50 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM?

CD Olimpia 2-0 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 66%, draw 19%, Lobos UPNFM 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5
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