CD Olimpia 2-0 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-16.3pp
25%
Draw
14%
+10.6pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
2.39/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.29
-4% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
566 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
14.09.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 3-3 HT 2-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.04.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
19.02.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
24.10.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
29.08.2022 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia saw off Lobos UPNFM 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.00 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM?

CD Olimpia 2-0 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 63%, draw 25%, Lobos UPNFM 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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