Vida 2-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Mar 2024

Vida
2-1 HT 0-1
Olancho
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vida EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.30/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.87
+11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vida
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Olancho
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
08.10.2023 Vida Vida 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
13.08.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 2-1 Vida Vida HON
12.03.2023 Vida Vida 1-1 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
29.01.2023 Olancho Olancho 3-1 HT 1-0 Vida Vida HON
03.10.2022 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 0-1 Vida Vida HON
07.08.2022 Vida Vida 1-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Vida vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vida squeezed past Olancho 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Vida made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vida and 1.33 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Vida vs Olancho?

Vida 2-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vida vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vida 35%, draw 27%, Olancho 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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