Marathon 2-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.5pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
2.55/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.11
+19% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
3W-3D-0L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.10.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
28.08.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
02.04.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
06.02.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
01.09.2022 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
08.05.2022 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon saw off CD Victoria 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marathon and 0.50 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Victoria?

Marathon 2-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Marathon 58%, draw 21%, CD Victoria 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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