Lobos UPNFM 1-0 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-8.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +5%
0.99/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.91
-5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
01.03.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
06.11.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
14.09.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 3-3 HT 2-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.04.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
19.02.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
24.10.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM squeezed past CD Olimpia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 2.33 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia?

Lobos UPNFM 1-0 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 27%, draw 28%, CD Olimpia 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
25 Apr 2024
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