Olancho 1-1 Vida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 25 Apr 2024

Olancho
1-1 HT 1-0
Vida
📅25/04/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
17%
+9.0pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Vida EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
2.03/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.47
-8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
457 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vida
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.03.2024 Vida Vida 2-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
08.10.2023 Vida Vida 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
13.08.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 2-1 Vida Vida HON
12.03.2023 Vida Vida 1-1 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
29.01.2023 Olancho Olancho 3-1 HT 1-0 Vida Vida HON
03.10.2022 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 0-1 Vida Vida HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Vida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and Vida shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Olancho carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Olancho and 1.00 for Vida.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Vida?

Olancho 1-1 Vida in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Vida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Olancho 61%, draw 26%, Vida 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Olancho), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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