CD Olimpia 3-1 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
2.32/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.40
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
25.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
01.03.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
06.11.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
14.09.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 3-3 HT 2-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.04.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
19.02.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia beat Lobos UPNFM 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.17 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM?

CD Olimpia 3-1 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 61%, draw 22%, Lobos UPNFM 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5
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