Lobos UPNFM 0-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
45%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
14%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
16%
+14.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
45%
Away Win
61%
-16.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.4pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 66%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.14/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.89
+19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
14.09.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
25.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
01.03.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
06.11.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
14.09.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 3-3 HT 2-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.04.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia saw off Lobos UPNFM 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 2.17 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia?

Lobos UPNFM 0-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 31%, draw 24%, CD Olimpia 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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