Marathon 7-0 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
77%
-10.5pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.4pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 11%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
2.58/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.23
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
369 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Juticalpa
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
07.03.2025 Marathon Marathon 4-0 HT 2-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
20.01.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
21.10.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
11.08.2024 Marathon Marathon 4-1 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon ran out comfortable winners over Juticalpa 7-0. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Marathon and 0.50 for Juticalpa.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Juticalpa?

Marathon 7-0 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Marathon 67%, draw 19%, Juticalpa 14%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ BTTS No
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