Marathon 4-1 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +73% / +73%
2.07/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon swept aside Juticalpa 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Juticalpa?

Marathon 4-1 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Marathon 51%, draw 30%, Juticalpa 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
11 Aug 2024
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