Marathon 4-0 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.84/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.81
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Juticalpa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.01.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
21.10.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
11.08.2024 Marathon Marathon 4-1 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon cruised past Juticalpa 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Marathon and 0.67 for Juticalpa.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Juticalpa?

Marathon 4-0 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Marathon 57%, draw 26%, Juticalpa 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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