Juticalpa 1-1 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 21 Oct 2024

Juticalpa
1-1 HT 0-0
Marathon
📅21/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2024/2025

Juticalpa vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juticalpa v Marathon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 43%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
0.00/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.17
-100% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.7

Juticalpa vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Marathon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
11.08.2024 Marathon Marathon 4-1 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juticalpa and Marathon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Marathon?

Juticalpa 1-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 30%, draw 31%, Marathon 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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