Real Espana 1-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+5.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-5.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.4pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.54/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.04
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Olancho
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.08.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-1 HT 3-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
31.03.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
26.11.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.09.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
14.05.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana and Olancho couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Espana at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Espana and 1.50 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Olancho?

Real Espana 1-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 49%, draw 29%, Olancho 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Espana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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