Olancho 3-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -20%
1.41/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.33
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Real Espana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.03.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
26.11.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.09.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
14.05.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
11.05.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho saw off Real Espana 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Olancho made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Olancho and 1.00 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Real Espana?

Olancho 3-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Olancho 38%, draw 30%, Real Espana 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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