CD Victoria 3-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
41%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
18%
+14.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
41%
Away Win
58%
-17.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 62%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.06/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.84
+2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
29.04.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
09.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
13.08.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
30.04.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 6-0 HT 3-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
27.02.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria saw off CD Olimpia 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for CD Victoria and 2.17 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia?

CD Victoria 3-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 32%, draw 27%, CD Olimpia 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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