CD Olimpia 2-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.18
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
81%
-20.7pp
24%
Draw
13%
+10.3pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 8%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
2.55/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.79
+11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +23%
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
503 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CD Victoria
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
09.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
13.08.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
30.04.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 6-0 HT 3-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
27.02.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
02.10.2022 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia beat CD Victoria 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.17 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria?

CD Olimpia 2-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 60%, draw 24%, CD Victoria 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
29 Apr 2024
00:30 Vida vs Motagua Analysis →
00:30 CD Real Sociedad vs Real Espana Analysis →
00:30 Marathon vs Olancho Analysis →
00:30 Genesis PN vs Lobos UPNFM Analysis →