Vida 1-2 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Apr 2024

Vida
1-2 HT 0-1
Motagua
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.34
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
16%
+13.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
47%
Away Win
62%
-15.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vida EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 66%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
0.64/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.04
-36% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vida
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Motagua
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 1-0 Vida Vida HON
19.10.2023 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 2-0 Vida Vida HON
21.08.2023 Vida Vida 3-3 HT 1-2 Motagua Motagua HON
09.04.2023 Vida Vida 0-1 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
12.02.2023 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 1-1 Vida Vida HON
09.10.2022 Vida Vida 0-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Vida vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua nicked a narrow win over Vida 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vida and 2.17 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Vida vs Motagua?

Vida 1-2 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vida vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vida 29%, draw 24%, Motagua 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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