CD Real Sociedad 2-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 45%
-9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.26/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.54
+12% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Espana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-3 HT 1-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
09.11.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
14.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
13.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
13.04.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
30.01.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-3 HT 1-2 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad squeezed past Real Espana 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; CD Real Sociedad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 1.50 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Real Espana?

CD Real Sociedad 2-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 36%, draw 26%, Real Espana 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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