Baghdad 4-1 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.7pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baghdad EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Baghdad vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baghdad cruised past Naft Maysan 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Baghdad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Baghdad vs Naft Maysan?

Baghdad 4-1 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baghdad vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naft Maysan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Baghdad 36%, draw 26%, Naft Maysan 38%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naft Maysan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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