Al Minaa Basra 4-2 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.54
Over 2.5
29%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
33%
-3.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.1pp
71%
Under 2.5
61%
+9.6pp
29%
Over 2.5
39%
-9.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.26/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.09
+10% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Minaa Basra
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Najaf
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.03.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Najaf Al Najaf IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Minaa Basra saw off Al Najaf 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Minaa Basra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Al Najaf?

Al Minaa Basra 4-2 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Najaf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 29%, draw 32%, Al Najaf 38%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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