Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 12 Mar 2025

Al Minaa Basra
1-1 HT 1-0
Al Najaf
📅12/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Minaa Basra vs Al Najaf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
3%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.3pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Minaa Basra v Al Najaf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.42/2.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.37
+30% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Minaa Basra and Al Najaf couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najaf at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Al Najaf?

Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Al Najaf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 28%, draw 29%, Al Najaf 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Najaf), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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