Al Zawraa 4-0 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 12 Mar 2025

Al Zawraa
4-0 HT 1-0
Erbil
📅12/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Al Zawraa vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Zawraa v Erbil — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.74/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.60
+6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Zawraa ran out comfortable winners over Erbil 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Zawraa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Erbil?

Al Zawraa 4-0 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 54%, draw 26%, Erbil 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zawraa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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