Nojima Stella (K) 1-0 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 5 Oct 2025

Nojima Stella (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata (K)
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2025/2026

Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nojima Stella (K) v Albirex Niigata (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.47/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.24
+67% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
201 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.6 Yellow Cards 0.4

Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2025 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL
30.11.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
30.03.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL

Nojima Stella (K) 1-0 Albirex Niigata (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nojima Stella (K)
1-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nojima Stella (K) edged past Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Albirex Niigata (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Nojima Stella (K) had 50% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 50%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nojima Stella (K) and 1.33 for Albirex Niigata (K).

What was the final score of Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Nojima Stella (K) 1-0 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nojima Stella (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nojima Stella (K) 34%, draw 25%, Albirex Niigata (K) 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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