Kairat 5-0 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.18
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
10%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
79%
-4.7pp
15%
Draw
15%
-0.1pp
10%
Away Win
5%
+4.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.7pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 8%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
2.35/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/2.15
-4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +5%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
14.06.2025 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-2 HT 2-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
26.10.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 1-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
06.04.2024 Kairat Kairat 0-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
17.09.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 1-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
09.04.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-3 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
30.10.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat cruised past Zhetysu 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kairat and 1.17 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Zhetysu?

Kairat 5-0 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Kairat 75%, draw 15%, Zhetysu 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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