Zhetysu 1-2 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.7pp
49%
Away Win
64%
-14.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 69%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.03/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.69
+25% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kairat
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
06.04.2024 Kairat Kairat 0-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
17.09.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 1-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
09.04.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-3 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
30.10.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
13.03.2021 Kairat Kairat 2-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
18.10.2020 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-4 HT 2-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat squeezed past Zhetysu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zhetysu and 1.67 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Kairat?

Zhetysu 1-2 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 24%, draw 27%, Kairat 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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