Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
67%
-15.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.86/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.97
+3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zhenys
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.06.2024 Zhenys 1-3 HT 1-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhenys edged past Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ordabasy Shymkent at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhenys?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 51%, draw 25%, Zhenys 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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