Zhenys 1-3 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
55%
Away Win
54%
+1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.8pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 57%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
0.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.76
-42% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent saw off Zhenys 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Zhenys 1-3 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 20%, draw 25%, Ordabasy Shymkent 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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