Aktobe 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-8.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.0pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
2.03/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.04
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
527 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
03.06.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
02.07.2022 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 2-3 HT 2-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
03.04.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
27.06.2021 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
19.04.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 0-3 HT 0-2 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe squeezed past Shakhter Karagandy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aktobe and 1.17 for Shakhter Karagandy.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Aktobe 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 65%, draw 21%, Shakhter Karagandy 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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