Naxxar Lions 0-1 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 5 Oct 2025

Naxxar Lions
0-1 HT 0-1
Valletta
📅05/10/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Malta - Premier League – 2025/2026

Naxxar Lions vs Valletta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
60%
Away Win
61%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naxxar Lions v Valletta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 66%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.34/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.73
-53% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -27%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Naxxar Lions vs Valletta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naxxar Lions
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Valletta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.01.2024 Valletta Valletta 1-2 HT 0-2 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP

Naxxar Lions 0-1 Valletta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naxxar Lions
0-1
AWAY Valletta
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naxxar Lions vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valletta nicked a narrow win over Naxxar Lions 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valletta as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Naxxar Lions had 46% of the ball to Valletta's 54%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Valletta?

Naxxar Lions 0-1 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valletta win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 19%, draw 21%, Valletta 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valletta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valletta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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