Valletta 1-2 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-8.2pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valletta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valletta
1-2
AWAY Naxxar Lions
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valletta vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions edged past Valletta 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Valletta at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valletta had 55% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 45%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Valletta vs Naxxar Lions?

Valletta 1-2 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valletta vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valletta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valletta 44%, draw 28%, Naxxar Lions 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valletta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTP More Malta - Premier League
7 Jan 2024
13:00 Sliema Wanderers vs Gudja United Analysis →
16:00 Sirens vs Birkirkara Analysis →
16:00 Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians FC Analysis →
18:15 Mosta vs Balzan FC Analysis →