Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 Hibernians FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.8
Over 2.5
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.9pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.70/2.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.72
-30% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
239 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hibernians FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
26.02.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTAK
30.10.2022 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1-1
AWAY Hibernians FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC and Hibernians FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (28% / 34% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 54% of the ball to Hibernians FC's 46%, shots finished 5-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marsaxlokk FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 0.67 for Hibernians FC.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians FC?

Marsaxlokk FC 1-1 Hibernians FC in the Malta - Premier League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 28%, draw 34%, Hibernians FC 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hibernians FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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