Sirens 1-2 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.3pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sirens EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 66%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.06/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.11
+34% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sirens
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Birkirkara
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.12.2022 Sirens Sirens 1-0 HT 1-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
19.08.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 2-0 HT 0-0 Sirens Sirens MLTP
13.02.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 1-1 Sirens Sirens MLTP
24.10.2021 Sirens Sirens 3-2 HT 0-2 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sirens
1-2
AWAY Birkirkara
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sirens vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara nicked a narrow win over Sirens 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sirens had 44% of the ball to Birkirkara's 56%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sirens had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sirens and 1.25 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Sirens vs Birkirkara?

Sirens 1-2 Birkirkara in the Malta - Premier League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sirens vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sirens 21%, draw 25%, Birkirkara 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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