Shooting Stars 1-0 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.32/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.38
-9% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
428 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Plateau United
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Plateau United Plateau United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
15.09.2024 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 1-1 HT 1-1 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
30.09.2023 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 2-1 HT 1-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
16.02.2022 Plateau United Plateau United 3-1 HT 1-1 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shooting Stars
1-0
AWAY Plateau United
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars edged past Plateau United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shooting Stars had 62% of the ball to Plateau United's 38%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Shooting Stars and 1.50 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Plateau United?

Shooting Stars 1-0 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 57%, draw 21%, Plateau United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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