CFR Cluj 2-1 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 29% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.89/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.33
+15% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.3 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CFR Cluj
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hermannstadt
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 0.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
396 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 3-2 HT 2-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROK
05.02.2025 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-0 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
21.09.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
08.03.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
06.11.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
20.12.2022 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 0-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CFR Cluj
2-1
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.72 xG 0.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
433 Passes 381
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CFR Cluj vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFR Cluj squeezed past Hermannstadt 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CFR Cluj as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CFR Cluj had 54% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 46%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.72 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CFR Cluj's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CFR Cluj had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CFR Cluj and 0.67 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of CFR Cluj vs Hermannstadt?

CFR Cluj 2-1 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFR Cluj vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CFR Cluj 53%, draw 24%, Hermannstadt 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CFR Cluj), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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5 Oct 2025
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