Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.91
Over
52%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.64
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.38
2-3
46%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.34
6+
6%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.33
1/2
3%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
11%
6.41
X/2
14%
5.42
X/X
17%
4.64
2/1
3%
30.0
2/2
23%
3.33
2/X
5%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 3% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fatih Karagümrük The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK The Market 43%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.65 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.66
1.42 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
Great Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.78 xG 1.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
445 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
23.12.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-3 HT 0-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
13.11.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-3 HT 1-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
08.01.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-1 HT 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
14.08.2021 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-2 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
03.02.2021 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
0 - 2
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.65 xG 2.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
241 Passes 322
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Fatih Karagümrük vs Gaziantep FK
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gaziantep FK got the better of Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gaziantep FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Fatih Karagümrük had 44% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 56%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.65 to 2.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 2.33 for Gaziantep FK.

Fatih Karagümrük vs Gaziantep FK Result & Final Score

Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 2 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fatih Karagümrük vs Gaziantep FK Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 33%, draw 28%, Gaziantep FK 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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