Atletico Tucuman vs CA Sarmiento Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Tucuman v CA Sarmiento — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Tucuman vs CA Sarmiento Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 3-0
Atletico Tucuman
ARJ
1-0
HT 0-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Tucuman
ARJ
3-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Tucuman
ARJ
1-2
HT 1-0
Atletico Tucuman
ARJ
2-1
HT 1-0
CA Sarmiento
ARJ
Atletico Tucuman 1-0 CA Sarmiento — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Tucuman nicked a narrow win over CA Sarmiento 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 56% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 44%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.16 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Tucuman's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.67 for CA Sarmiento.
What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs CA Sarmiento?
Atletico Tucuman 1-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs CA Sarmiento?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 49%, draw 27%, CA Sarmiento 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.