Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.33
Over 2.5
28%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.53
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
12%
8.7
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.56
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.35
X/1
17%
5.19
X/2
11%
5.04
X/X
22%
2.93
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.38
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.7pp
34%
Draw
33%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.0pp
72%
Under 2.5
72%
+0.0pp
28%
Over 2.5
28%
-0.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.5pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.06/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.35
-25% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.2 Crosses 19.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rosario Central
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.55 xG 0.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
325 Passes 323
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.02.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-1
AWAY Rosario Central
1.21 xG 0.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
250 Passes 163
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
27 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia and Rosario Central couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 58% of the ball to Rosario Central's 42%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.21 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 39%, draw 34%, Rosario Central 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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