Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.42/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.67
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +78%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1-1
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna and Shire Endaselassie couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ethiopia Bunna at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 52% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 48%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie?

Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 44%, draw 26%, Shire Endaselassie 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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