Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fasil Ketema v Mebrat Hayl — Team-Based Signals
Fasil Ketema 2-3 Mebrat Hayl — Actual Match Statistics
Mebrat Hayl edged past Fasil Ketema 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Fasil Ketema at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fasil Ketema had 48% of the ball to Mebrat Hayl's 52%, shots finished 11-9.
What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Fasil Ketema 2-3 Mebrat Hayl in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Mebrat Hayl?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 45%, draw 27%, Mebrat Hayl 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.