Peterborough United U21 3-2 Fleetwood Town U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
2.98
Over 2.5
75%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.1pp
25%
Under 2.5
30%
-4.6pp
75%
Over 2.5
70%
+4.6pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.7pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.69/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.81
+46% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +134%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
410 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fleetwood Town U21
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.04.2024 Peterborough United U21 Peterborough United U21 1-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town U21 Fleetwood Town U21 INGPDL
05.12.2023 Fleetwood Town U21 Fleetwood Town U21 3-2 HT 3-0 Peterborough United U21 Peterborough United U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Peterborough United U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United U21 squeezed past Fleetwood Town U21 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fleetwood Town U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Peterborough United U21 and 1.50 for Fleetwood Town U21.

What was the final score of Peterborough United U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

Peterborough United U21 3-2 Fleetwood Town U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleetwood Town U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United U21 34%, draw 21%, Fleetwood Town U21 45%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fleetwood Town U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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