Barnsley U21 2-2 Birmingham City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.14
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-15.1pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.99/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.34
+0% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Birmingham City U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
13.03.2024 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 3-1 HT 1-0 Barnsley U21 Barnsley U21 INGPDL
05.12.2023 Barnsley U21 Barnsley U21 1-2 HT 0-0 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Barnsley U21 vs Birmingham City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley U21 and Birmingham City U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barnsley U21 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Birmingham City U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barnsley U21 and 2.50 for Birmingham City U21.

What was the final score of Barnsley U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Barnsley U21 2-2 Birmingham City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barnsley U21 47%, draw 24%, Birmingham City U21 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barnsley U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnsley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
5 Nov 2024
00:00 Wigan Athletic U21 vs Sheffield Wednesday U21 Analysis →
16:00 Sheffield United U21 vs Hull City U21 Analysis →
16:30 Peterborough United U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21 Analysis →