Al Jabalain 1-0 Al Suqoor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒15:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.7pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Suqoor EU Bookmakers 66%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.84/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.68
-15% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +31%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
199 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jabalain
1-0
AWAY Al Suqoor
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Jabalain vs Al Suqoor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jabalain nicked a narrow win over Al Suqoor 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Suqoor at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Al Jabalain had 32% of the ball to Al Suqoor's 68%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Al Jabalain vs Al Suqoor?

Al Jabalain 1-0 Al Suqoor in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jabalain vs Al Suqoor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Suqoor win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Jabalain 20%, draw 23%, Al Suqoor 57%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Suqoor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Suqoor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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